Illinois Mortgage Rates Weekly Update
29th November 2008
Welcome to Illinois Mortgage Rates and News week in review for the week ending November 28th, my take on the week’s financial news and how it affected Illinois mortgage rates.
I hope you all had a great Thanksgiving and have given some thought to what you are thankful for. In the mortgage market this week we have one more reason
to be Thankful. Mortgage rates dropped this week, by a lot. Over the last month mortgage rates have been flat, and in a holding pattern. The news over the last few months has been consistently grim. The economy is slowing dramatically and the threat of inflation is just a hazy memory from this past Summer. Deflation is the watchword now. The Fed has taken short term rates all the way down to 1% in an effort to get banks to lend money. The government has been trying to get mortgage rates lower in order to jump start the economy, and all of these factors should have made a difference in brining mortgage rates down. But up until now, no luck.
It was a new Fed program announced on Tuesday that did the trick. With this new program the Fed will directly buy up to $600 billion in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and other mortgage backed securities, as well as another $200 billion in other consumer credit obligations. This is huge news, and something the Fed hasn’t done in the last 50 years. By moving into the market the Fed is sending a clear signal that they are going to stay in the market and do whatever is needed to keep rates down and get the market moving again. The markets reacted with a buying frenzy, and mortgage rates are about a half point lower now than they were at the end of last week.
If you are about to buy a home, this is great news. If you are thinking about refinancing your home, this could be great news, but it is not going to help everyone. Refinancing your mortgage is a great way to lower your payment and it can help those who need to restructure their debt and those who want to move from an ARM into a fixed rate loan. But many of the people who would get the most benefit from refinancing are those who bought in the last several years, when home prices were at their highest and mortgage underwriting was easier. One issue we are facing now is low appraisal values. Home prices have moved sharply lower, and the value may not be enough to support the mortgage. If you bought with a low down payment the mortgage may be higher than the current value of the home. I’ve seen other cases where the borrower bought the home with 20% or more for a down payment, but if they were to refinance now they would have to pay mortgage insurance. Another issue comes in with those who have a second mortgage or home equity line. When refinancing, the lender on the second mortgage needs to subordinate their mortgage to the new first mortgage, that is, they aren’t going to try and jump in line and take over the first position. This used to be almost automatic. Now it depends on the guidelines and position of the lender on the home equity loan. Still, there are a lot of people who will benefit from a refinance (no-closing cost refinance), and it makes sense to look into your options. If you have an FHA mortgage, you may have the easiest option with an FHA streamlined refinance. This mortgage offers no credit qualifying, often no appraisal and it can lower your payment by a lot. It is worth looking into.
If you are buying a home, the news is all good. With home prices down you get more home for the money, and with mortgage rates down your payment goes even further. If you are a first time home buyer (you haven’t owned a home in the last 3 years) you also can qualify for the first time home buyer tax credit, which means up to $7,500 off of your tax bill next year. As we come into the Holiday season, this is traditionally the slowest time of the year for real estate. If you are in the market and ready to buy, that means you have leverage and there are bargains to be had. The first step to buying a new home is to be pre-approved for a mortgage. Let me know if I can help.
One thing to watch out for if you are getting a mortgage at this time of year, especially a refinance, is how long your rate is locked in for. The sudden drop in rates means a big jump in volume for a mortgage industry that has been steadily downsizing. This means more pressure on appraisers, processors, underwriters and closers. Turn times will be longer, and with the holidays coming up, many people already have vacations planned and are working on short schedules in December. This makes a bigger impact on refinances because here in Illinois as in many areas of the country, you have a three day right of rescission ( a consumer protection giving you the right to back out of a deal after you have signed all the documentation). This means you will have to close your loan at least 3 business days before the lock expires. If someone is locking you in for 30 days or less, you will have to close before Christmas, and with the extra volume that may be a problem. I am locking all my refinances in for 45 days just for insurance and peace of mind. Purchases can be quicker, and we give priority to purchases.
Here is what Illinois Home mortgage rates look like today for an A+, full doc purchase on a 30 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee. The conventional loans are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. (Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or Contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I’ll take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you.) :
Conventional loans up to $417,000
30 year fixed rate 5.375% 5.566% APR
15 Year fixed Rate 5.125% 5.288% APR
5-1 A.R.M. 5.375% 5.537% APR
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
30 year fixed rate * 6.50% 6.615% APR *
Special pricing requires 25% down payment or equity
7-1 A.R.M. 5.875% 6.059% APR
FHA LOANS - 3% down payment
With 1 point origination fee – 60 day lock
30 year fixed rate 5.375% 6.047% APR
With no origination fee – 60 day lock
30 year fixed rate 5.75% 6.055% APR
FHA APR reflects 3% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan.
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
Illinois Home Mortgage Rates and News First time home buyer loans
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good news for lower mortgage rates, but the bond market was stuck and rates didn’t budge. A big part of the problem has been lack of investor confidence, even though Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now fully backed by the government. Over the last months since the credit crisis hit, the Fed and the Treasury have been trying to get mortgage rates down. In order for the economy to recover, housing has to recover and lower rates are a big part of the solution. But even as the Fed lowered short term rates all the way down to 1%, the mortgage market wouldn’t bite and the spread between mortgages and short term rates hit an all time high. The good news is that this changed yesterday.
the big 3 automakers, and the news that mega-bank Citigroup is now on the ropes. The auto makers have been on a downward slide for years, and their collective decisions to base their fortunes on SUVs took a hit when gas prices soared. They have made a lot of bad decisions over the years, but it wasn’t the gas prices that pushed them over the edge, it was the credit crunch. Car buyers have disappeared, and those who are in the market are having a harder time coming up with financing. With no sales the auto makers are rapidly running out of cash, and the only viable lender is the government. GM, Chrysler and Ford don’t get a lot of sympathy. They are big, bloated organizations who have been out of touch with the market for years. Because of labor and pension and health care obligations, their cost of doing business is higher than their competitors. The Bush administration doesn’t appear to want to step in and some critics say they should be allowed to fail. But if they did fail, the ripple effect could mean the loss of well over a million jobs, and a devastated economy in the upper Midwest especially. It is probably cheaper to keep them going then to deal with the mess if they don’t make it. The auto makers are hoping that the government will swoop in to rescue them. Chances are that a structured bailout will be arranged, conditional on their dealing with some of the problems that have festered over the years. An auto maker bailout makes sense in the short term, the question is if it would be enough to get them off of life support and make them stronger in the long run.
New unemployment claims came in at 542,000, a huge and ugly number. The expectation is that unemployment will continue to grow and we will be in a downturn at least through mid 2009. One good thing that has come out of this is that prices for oil and other commodities are coming down. A few months back when Oil prices were in the $140 range, experts were claiming that it would surely go to $200 per barrel. It went below $50 this week. I’m not sure what the upshot of that is, besides knowing that many experts don’t have a clue and you can’t follow a trend line to infinity because at some point it will change. But I filled up my car for under $30 this week and did a double take when I looked at the pump. Some stations here in the Chicago area are now showing gas prices under $2 per gallon. This is good news in that gas prices effect nearly everything in our economy, and with gas coming down prices in general will follow. It also brings another fear, though. The Fed brought out the D word this week, Deflation, as being the biggest risk to our economy going forward. To battle deflation the Fed can cut interest rates, but the Fed funds rate is a t1.0% now, so there is not much farther they can go. The other solution is to pump more money into the economy. They’ve been doing this with out much effect so far. We are probably going to have to wait until Obama takes over in January before we see more of this. The current administration is done with leading and ready to move on.
the lender because the home owner couldn’t make their mortgage payments. Short sales are pre-foreclosure properties where the home owners owe the bank more than the value of their home. Foreclosures in the Chicago area used to be a tiny percentage of the homes sold. But over the last few years with the down turn in the housing market and the economy, the percentage has grown and this year foreclosures have exploded. It is a sad sign of the times that these homes are the most active part of the market. It is a real tragedy when a family loses their home (though a good percentage of the foreclosures are investments and speculations gone bad). It is also bad news for the community and a real problem for the bank that holds the mortgage or owns the home. But if you are in the market for a new home, buying a foreclosed property or a short sale can mean big bargains.
of your best benefits is the VA (Veterans Administration) loan. This is the original, and last surviving 100% loan. Since the end of World War II, VA loans have allowed qualified veterans to get a piece of the American Dream and buy a home of their own with out a down payment and with easier qualifying standards than with conventional mortgages. This loan is now more important than it has been in years. As more and more veterans separate from the service after action in Iraq and Afghanistan, this will be a great way to take advantage of the lower home prices and buy a home at terms they can afford. Some of the features of the loan are:
If you are buying a condominium, the condo needs to be on the VA approved list. An FHA approval doesn’t work and there is no spot approval process like there is with FHA. This can put a real limit on what you can look at as most of the VA approved condos are older properties. If you want to see what condos are available in your area, let me know and I will send you a list.
before the congressional races start again. But now with Obama as our new President Elect, there is a little less uncertainty out there and we at least know who our leader is going to be going forward. This has already helped stabilize the markets. The waiting game is now focused on who he will pick for Secretary of the Treasury and what he plans to do about the economy. He has already said that the first priority is to put together a new stimulus plan. The first stimulus plan where the government sent everyone checks was a complete bust. This stimulus plan is expected to be tied to increasing jobs and building infrastructure. The advantage of this approach is that at least we will have something to show for it once the money is spent.
There is good news on mortgage rates. Mortgage bonds have been fluctuating wildly and rates had risen over the last month even as all the fundamental factors pointed toward lower rates. On election day the mortgage bond market went wild with a rally of 113 ticks, a vote of confidence in the end of election season and knowing someone new will be in charge. Rates were off a little at the end of the week, in spite of the employment report which in a normal market would have caused rates to drop further, but we have seen about a 3/8s improvement in mortgage rates for the week.
resident I’ve had a first hand look at Obama before he was on the national radar, and I’ve followed him closely as he reached national prominence. In my own little brush with greatness, I had the chance to talk with him for a few minutes 4 years ago when he was first running for the senate. He came off as smart, approachable and down to earth guy with an easy sense of humor – a scaled down version of how he is in front of the huge crowds. I’m proud to have him as our president and I have hopes for what he can do for our country in the future. One of the questions I’ve been asked a lot over the last month was what would happen to the real estate markets and what will happen with interest rates with an Obama’s victory?
hated the idea of being one of those guys who didn’t have candy when kids came by. I ended up racing out to the store for reinforcements. And, of course, we didn’t have another visit the rest of the night. This Halloween I decided I was going to be better prepared and bought one more bag than I had last year. The evening started out slow with no one coming by until well after dark. I live in an older neighborhood with bigger lots and longer driveways. It seemed for a while that kids were bypassing our area for a close by subdivision where the homes were closer together, which means a shorter walk for treats and more candy in less time. With no one coming by I thought that might be the case again this year. Then everyone came at once. They were in there own smaller groups, but all the groups hit at the same time. Supplies ran low again, I panicked and sent my son out for more treats. And, again, that was it for the night. Now we have several pounds of excess candy which I will eat, and regret. It turns out my original prediction was just about dead on, but I panicked and figured that the flood of kids would keep on coming.
Mortgage rates are still trying to find direction. Mortgage bonds were worse most of the week, but after hitting a support level near their worst point for the year, they started to improve. All the indicators point toward lower mortgage rates and