Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Weekly Update
30th November 2009
Welcome to Illinois Mortgage Rates and News week in review for the week ending November 27th, 2009, my take on the week’s financial news and how it affected Chicago Illinois mortgage rates.
Rates slid a little farther last week, and we are now at the lowest rates of the year. This was a holiday shortened week, but it was jam packed with market
moving information. Consumer confidence ticked slightly higher, home starts increased slightly and the Case Schiller Index showed that the housing market is coming back, but still a long ways down from where it was a year ago. The Fed Open Market Committee released their minutes from last month’s meeting, and it amplified what they said earlier in their news release. The upshot is that in order for the economy to continue to recover, they need to keep rates low for an extended period of time. In the minutes they acknowledged that low rates could continue to hurt the dollar on world markets, and there is a risk of inflation, but these risks are low and the economy is still fragile. So expect that short term interest rates will stay where they are for at least a good part of next year. The mortgage bond markets liked this news, and the markets rallied on Wednesday sending mortgage rates a notch lower.
The biggest news of the week may have come at the end of the week, when Dubai World, the Dubai government backed investment company, announced that they were trying to reschedule their debt. This news hit over sea markets hard, and the stock market here got jarred too. The 59 billion dollar debt isn’t too big in global terms, and the big banks that took on the loans have enough problems, but this is just one more, not a fatal blow. This does seem to be more evidence that there are still pockets of the bubble economy that haven’t popped yet. In hind site, Dubai was always an accident waiting to happen. This was a super luxury resort/tax haven, in one of the most inhospitable spots in the world. Like Las Vegas, but without the gambling or in most cases drinking, it was built on decadence. Some of the bubbleicious features included an indoor ski resort (in the middle of the desert) and man mad islands shaped like palm trees and the world. We’ll see if this default was a one time event, or if this continues to pull markets down.
We will know more about the results of Black Friday and the start of the Christmas shopping season later, but the initial results show an increase in the amount spent over all, but less spent per shopper. It looks like the shoppers are just looking for the bargains, and not buying the extra things that the retailers need to keep profits up. As we enter December, real estate usually goes into hibernation mode, but there are signs that this year may be different. The New Home Buyer Tax Credit extension is motivating more people to start looking, and these low, low interest rates are likely to keep the market hopping. If you are looking for mortgage pre-approval anywhere in the country, give me a call and we can get the process started. If you are thinking of refinancing your mortgage, there may not be a better time to get started.
Here are the current Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I’ll take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
30 year fixed rate 4.75% 4.867% APR
15 Year fixed Rate 4.25% 4.367% APR
5-1 A.R.M. 3.75% 3.867% APR
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
***************** SPECIAL JUMBO PRICING ****************
30 Year Fixed Rate* 5.875% 6.093%*
This 30 year fixed Jumbo is special pricing based on a purchase up to 75% LTV or a refinance to 70%, 680 or better Fico scores. Other restrictions may apply.
**************************************************************
7-1 A.R.M. 4.875% 5.095% APR
(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts – conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
FHA LOANS – 3.5% down payment – FHA Maximum varies by County
With 1 point origination fee – 45 day lock
30 year fixed rate 4. 625% 5.129% APR
With no origination fee – 45 day lock
30 year fixed rate 4.875% 5.136% APR
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
Call for quotes on FHA 203K Rehab Loans
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
With 1 point origination fee – 45 day lock
30 Year Fixed Rate 4.75% 4.987%
Call for information on no-cost VA Streamlined Refinances
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
Here are the reports due to be released this week:
Monday, November 30
• Chicago PMI
Tuesday, December 1
• Construction spending
• ISM Index
• Pending home sales
• Auto and truck sales
Wednesday, December 2
• ADP employment report
• Fed Beige Book
Thursday, December 3
• Jobless claims
• Productivity
• ISM Services
Friday, December 4
• Nonfarm payrolls
• Factory orders
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low rate for the long term, lower your payment and take some pressure off your budget. The rates now are the lowest I’ve ever seen and I expect when we look back at this a few years from now, they will seem like the bargain of a lifetime. But while rates are low, if you have compared rates you see in the newspaper or on-line, you might think rates are better than they really are. You might also see that some lenders are showing much lower rates than others, when the reality is that we all get our funds from the same sources, and the true rate shouldn’t vary from one lender to the next by more than an 1/8 or 1/4 of a percent. So what gives? Why are some lenders able to show such low, low rates? Are they really able to do something that other mortgage lenders aren’t able to do?
The second step is, how much it will cost to refinance?
the economy was still in free fall. Back then, from the beginning of the year until the start of the Summer, mortgage rates were in a flat, even pattern and the low rates were as stable as I have ever seen. By nature, mortgage rates are volatile. Mortgage rates aren’t set, but determined in a market (mortgage backed securities, a type of bond), just like with stocks or other financial instruments. Mortgage bonds bounce around from day to day based on economic reports and changes in trader sentiment. Mortgage bonds are long term investments, so the traders are looking for signs of inflation, which is the enemy of any fixed rate investment. Back in the Spring the big worry was deflation, not inflation, and the Fed had committed to a huge purchase of 1.25 trillion dollars in mortgage backed securities in order to keep mortgage interest rates low. The Fed purchases did the trick, and rates stayed in the low stable range until worries about the build up in public debt shook the market up at the end of May. We are in a very different situation now. The Fed is nearly finished with its buy back program, and with all the debt the government has taken on to keep the economy moving, inflation fears are high (even though there is no sign of inflation now).
Chicagoans and Illinois residents in general. Wisconsin has the lakes and open areas that we don’t have around Chicago, and it is a great place for fishing, boating, hunting and snowmobiling, not to mention just hanging out and enjoying nature. And if you are from Wisconsin, that’s not always a good thing. If you live in Wisconsin, it’s not just your playground, it’s where you set down your roots, work and raise your family. And then there’s the rivalry between the Bears and the Packers (though rivalry might not be the right word anymore, since it’s been awful lop sided in the Packers favor over recent years). The point is that Wisconsin and Illinois are linked together, and its sometimes a love/hate relationship. More love on our part.
it is still up near the highs for the year. Oil and gold have had major run ups, and the dollar keeps getting smacked around on the currency market. The government holds new auctions for debt nearly every week and the money supply continues to grow. The economy is still soft, but we are long past the panic and slowly moving forward. At the same time, the Fed is nearing the end of its commitment to buy mortgage backed securities to keep rates low (the Fed has purchased over $1 trillion out of $1.25 trillion promised). All these are usually signs that inflation is heating up, and that mortgage rates should be rising. But rates stayed flat this week, near the lows of the year. What gives?
With Thanksgiving on Thursday, this is a short week for the markets. Most of the activity will be on Monday and Tuesday before traders leave early on Wednesday for the extra long week. Existing home sales, the GDP, and consumer confidence measures will all be released this week, as well as several new auctions of government debt. With the shortened week expect more volatility in mortgage rates. Let me know if I can help you with refinancing your current mortgage, or helping you with your loan when you buy a new home. The
buyer and seller) and two IRS tax forms, the
as the Fed slowed down on their buying schedule of mortgage backed securities. Stock prices are still hovering at the top of their range, and oil prices have gone up, a sign that inflation fears are in the air. None of this seems to matter. Mortgage bonds usually do best when bad news abounds and fear is in the air, right now all the signals are mixed. Housing is still a mess and unemployment is likely to continue to be bad through all of next year. But there are other signs that business is returning to a more normal pattern. So the question comes down to, are these low rates the start of a bigger move down, or the last gasp before rates start to rise?
back is that they need to get the process right, and there is a running battle over how to do this. Part of this is due to the fact that under these new rules, it will be the FHA Direct Endorsement lenders who will need to certify that the condo project meets all the guidelines. This is a much higher level of accountability than lenders had before with the FHA Spot loan, and the lenders are taking on more risk (If any of the information they certify turns out to be wrong, they have to buy back the loan) and once they approve one condo unit, the project is approved and any other lender can come in and place FHA loans in that project, without having to go through all the extra documentation. There are still a lot of holes in how the process will be administered, and the lenders want to make sure they aren’t taking on too much additional risk for a small potential reward. FHA is also putting together a more advanced
All previously approved condo projects will remain on the FHA approved list until at least December 7, 2010. Under the new program, every lender will need to submit their first 5 test cases directly to HUD for approval. As originally written, the new process would only grandfather in condo projects that had been approved in the last 12 months (October 2008), and all others on the approved list would need to resubmit for a new approval. This promised a backlog of applications and a long wait for approvals. This letter extends the approval of all condos currently on the approved list until near the end of next year. The Direct Endorsement lenders will be required to verify the current condition of the project (the amount of non owner occupied units, amount of FHA loans in the project and how many owners are in arrears of their association dues), but this will take some of the pressure off and allow more time for the new process to get up to speed.
and expanded
This is good news for home buyers, and though I don’t see this making a big difference this year (home buying always goes down in December), it should make for a strong, and fast start for the market next year. The move up buyer credit will help some, but this is more a case of an added bonus than something that will really get homeowners to sell their homes and buy a new one. Too many homeowners have lost equity in their homes and aren’t able to take advantage of the offer, even though they may have outgrown their current home. Also, the first time home buyers in the market are usually looking for bargains, and they are concentrating on the foreclosures and short sales that are priced the lowest. If these homeowners can’t sell their homes, they won’t be able to move up to a new one. But for those who have equity and can, this is one more reason to take advantage of the low mortgage rates and low home prices available now. If you are looking to buy a new home, the first step is a