Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 11/26/2010
29th November 2010
The markets had a short week last week with a break for Thanksgiving, but the reports released
continue to paint a picture of an economy that is improving in some areas while still in the mire in others. First, the good news. Retail sales fell 0.6% for the week ending November 20, but are a 2.8% higher year-over-year basis. Retailers are optimistic as we head into the Christmas buying season. GDP (Gross domestic product — the total output of goods and services produced in the US) increased at an annual rate of 2.5% in the third quarter, better than the1.7% growth in the second quarter and a real sign that the economy is improving. Initial unemployment claims fell by 34,000 to 407,000 for the week ending November 20. That’s the lowest level (best reading) since July of 2008. Continuing claims also fell. Analysts say the jobs situation is definitely easing, but it will take a much higher level of growth to help get enough jobs back to lower the unemployment rate. We need 100,000 t0 150,000 new jobs each month just to keep up with the new people coming into the job market, and to help those who are long term unemployed now, we will need stronger growth. But this is a sign that we have turned for the better. Now for the bad side. The housing market is still a mess. New home sales fell again in October, an 8% drop from September and the worst October on record. Existing home sales were also off more than expected. The inventory of homes for sale now sits at over a 10 month supply, but this doesn’t include the shadow inventory of foreclosed homes that are not yet on the market. Orders for durable goods — items expected to last three or more years — fell 3.3% in October after a higher than expected increase in September. This figure is volatile from month to month, and it is improving for the year, but this number surprised on the down side.
The biggest story right now may be what is happening in Ireland and the European Union. Ireland took in a $113 billion dollar bail out from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund in order to avoid defaulting on its bonds. This is the second bailout this year for Ireland, they last dipped into the well in May. In exchange for the money to keep afloat, Ireland has to drastically cut spending, a move that is very unpopular with the Irish citizens. Greece got their austerity pill not too long ago, and Spain and Portugal are in line to take their medicine next. The popping of the economic bubble continues to echo throughout the world. The big question here is how this will affect the long term health of the European Union. The European Union formed to have a common currency, the Euro, to compete with the dollar on the world market. It has been a hard mix from the beginning. The Union doesn’t have a central bank, like the Fed, and relies on each country to maintain their economies growth and debt levels on their own. This pits the interests of strong stable countries like Germany, against those of the weaker members. This is just the latest installment, but this story will continue.
So how did all this affect mortgage rates? In the early part of the week mortgage bonds got crushed, and rates are now at their highest level in the last 4 months. But there are some silver linings behind these dark clouds. First, even with the run up, mortgage rates are still near all time lows. Affordability is high and rates are still over a half point lower than they were at a year ago. If you are thinking about buying a new home, the rates today shouldn’t have any impact at all. If you were looking to refinance and missed the lowest rates, there may be a second chance. Some of the most influential bond market analysts think this move was overdone and we are due for a move lower in rates. This again has to do with the reaction to the Fed’s policy of quantitative easing. Though there are signs that the economy is improving, unemployment is still the major problem. We need much stronger growth in order to do anything to bring this down. The risk of inflation is still very low and the Fed minutes released last week showed they were still more concerned with the threat of disinflation. At the end of last week the mortgage bond market improved. If big investors think the worst of the sell off is over, they may be ready to move in to buy more securities at what could be bargain prices.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 660 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 620. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.50% | 4.665% |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.875% | 4.017% |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 3.125% | 3.274% |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 5.25% | 5.387% |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 4.137%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.75% w/ 1 Point | 4.039% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.25% with 1.0 Pt | 4.865% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.50% with 0 Pts | 4.832% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.25% with 1Pt | 4.112% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.50% with 0 Pts | 4.202% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Quote
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.50% with 1Pt Origination | 5.286% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.75% with 0 Pts | 5.214% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
You can trust in us to get the job done.
Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
Illinois Mortgage Rates First time home buyer loans
Chicago Mortgage Company Chicago FHA Mortgages
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time, and, if you were like me, you spent hours looking through catalogs, made up lists that went on for pages and fantasized about all the loot you were going to get. Your parents probably tried to lower your expectations some, saying that this was a big list, and Santa wasn’t going to be able to get you everything you wanted. But maybe there were one or two things that were the real deal, the things that you were really hoping for. Then, Christmas finally came, and there were presents under the tree, and when you unwrapped everything, you got exactly what you expected. Not everything you wished for, maybe, but you did get what you were expecting, which after all was what you really wanted. Maybe you even got a little extra, maybe there were some surprises which weren’t even on the lists your wrote, but were great presents. And then, when all the excitement of Christmas and unwrapping presents was finally over, you felt a let down. A sense of disappointment. That was the mood in the bond markets this week. The Fed announced a new round of quantitative easing this week (QE2), just as expected, and the details were slightly bigger than expected. But disappointment set in soon.
another round of quantitative easing, or pumping new money into the system by buying treasury bonds as a way to lower interest rates and force some movement in the economy. Over the last month, analysts dissected each Fed members every speech or statement for any hint of what the details would look like. Over the last week the consensus formed that the Fed would step in with about $500 billion in purchases. The markets, both bonds and stocks, have swung wildly trying to anticipate the announcement and square up their positions ahead of time. Well, the big day finally arrived and, as expected the Fed announced the new quantitative easing program with $600 billion in purchases spread out through the second quarter of next year, along with $250 billion in repurchases with proceeds from payments coming in, for a total of $850 billion. And the reaction? The market panicked and sold off.
have traded in over the last month. The economic reports released last week pointed to some improvement in the economy (housing numbers were slightly better, consumer confidence was up and jobless claims improved), but the numbers weren’t enough to suggest that the economy was really making a turn for the better. In the markets, the economic reports are now just a side show. The main event is the Fed meeting and the announcement at the conclusion this week, which will tell their initial plans for quantitative easing. This program is a way for the Fed to pump more money into the economy to try and create some inflation (back to the target rate of 2%) and force banks to start lending and for businesses to start chasing higher yields than they could by keeping their funds in cash. This is their second go around with this plan. The first time helped drop