Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 01/28/2011
31st January 2011
A lot of news on the health and direction of the economy came out last week. GDP was up solidly, increasing at an annual rate of 3.2%, extending the trend of the last two quarters. The consumer confidence index rose to a
reading of 60.6, the highest level since May. Home sales increased last month, while Case Schiller reported that home prices are still soft. The Fed concluded their two day meeting and released a statement that despite a pick up in the economy and even though commodity prices are moving higher, their bigger concern is still the risk of deflation in the economy. Their quantitative easing program will continue as planned. But despite all this information coming out, the biggest impact on the markets and on mortgage rates last week was the unrest in Egypt.
Mortgage rates have moved up and down in a tight range since the first of the year. Mortgage rates are largely influenced by what happens in the mortgage backed securities MBS) market. As a rule, mortgage rates tend to improve when the news (economic mostly) is bad, and get worse when the news is good. Money flows back and forth between stocks and bonds. When the news supports a strengthening economy more of the money flows into stocks, which are considered riskier, but offer a higher return. Bonds are a fixed investment, paying a set rate over time. If the economy improves this carries the risk of inflation, which means the bondholders will be paid back in cheaper dollars. The news from Egypt last week caused a flight to quality in the investment community, or money flowing out of stocks and into bonds because they are considered safer. Any unrest causes concern, because the outcome is unknown. The biggest concern about the unrest in Egypt is that something will happen that will shut down the Suez canal, which controls the oil flow from the Mideast. With this unrest, mortgage bonds broke through their range, and rates have improved for the week. If the markets calm down and the risk in Egypt recedes, the flight to quality effect could quickly disappear. Long term the direction of mortgage rates is still going to be based on the fear of inflation and whether the economy is really improving, or not. The biggest news in that regard is the jobs report for January that will be released on Friday.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 660 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 620. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.875% | 5.085% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 4.125% | 4.268% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 3.50% | 3.629% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 5.375% | 5.588% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.75% w/ .5 points | 3.896%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.50% w/ 1 Point | 3.679% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.625% with 1.0 Pt | 5.289% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.875% with .0 Pts | 5.226% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.75% with 1Pt | 4.242% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 4.00% with 0 Pts | 4.249% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for CurrentQuote
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.75% with 1Pt Origination | 5.087% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 5.00% with 0 Pts | 5.248% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
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week showed better than expected growth, and new unemployment claims for the week were down again, a trend that shows employment is starting to stabilize. On the other hand, unemployment is still way too high and even the signs of growth are unlikely to do much to bring the rate of unemployment down, and the housing market is still on life support. For those looking at the upper tier of the economy, optimism is the rule. Stock earnings reports released last week came in mostly good. I have friends in the trucking industry who say that business is booming, and when things are being shipped this is usually a good sign for manufacturing and the economy in general. The biggest fear from this outlook is inflation. Oil prices have surged over the last few months and a whole list of other commodities are spiking higher. Some analysts are worried that the economy will overheat, and are calling for a big reduction in government spending and expect the Fed to raise rates sometime this year.
The intention of the program was too pump new money into the economy by buying treasuries and other bonds, as a way to drive interest rates lower and slowly re-inflate asset prices. The Fed’s big worry has been the risk of deflation. The concept here was to battle deflation by adding a little positive inflation into the mix. This concept has worked before when the Fed ran a similar program last year, but this time as the Fed rose up for what they considered a slam dunk, the markets slapped the ball back in their face. Over the last few months there have been signs that the economy is improving. It is still not clear that this is sustainable, but it is enough to refocus thinking from the fear of falling to the fear of over-heating and running up our debt and bankrupting the country. Instead of achieving their stated goal, the main effect of QE2 so far has been to run interest rates up, prop up the stock market and pressure the dollar which means oil prices have spiked higher. We still have some major problems associated with deflation, the housing market is still a mess and unemployment is high and not likely to get better for years. The Fed still may be proved right about deflation in the long run, but the money machine they control is more complex and the law of unintended consequences is now in play. From street level this looks a lot like stagflation, where the economy is soft but prices for gas and groceries are going up. This round of QE2 will run its course, but the Fed will need to go back to the drawing board to come up with a new way to achieve its goals. Barring a sudden down draft, there will not be a third round.
what makes up a good borrower has changed. Back when conventional mortgages (those loans made to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guidelines) were available for anyone with a pulse, a good borrower, that is someone who can get the best rate on a mortgage, was considered a borrower with a credit score of 620 and above. Mortgage qualification was too easy then, and as the housing market floundered, qualifications have continually ratcheted down, making conventional loans harder to get and more expensive for those who aren’t in the best category. It started out with Loan Level Price Adjustments (LLPAs) or price hits, based on credit scores. Now it takes a credit score of 740 or above to get the best rate, and if your score is below 700 the price hits mean a big increase in the rate you will be able to obtain. There are also LLPA price hits for the type of property, so buying a multi-family home is more expensive than buying a single family home. If you buy a
some work and you think the Chicago
January occurrence. Diets are in again after a December of eating way too much. And my phone is ringing with renters just testing the water to see if they are in shape to buy their first home later this year. This is expected in January because buying a new home is consistently one of the top financial resolutions. This year, with a combination of low interest rates and low home prices, buying a house is more affordable than it has been in decades, so I expect buying a home is on a lot of peoples list of resolutions for the year.