Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 05/27/2011
31st May 2011
Mortgage rates improved again last week and are now at their lowest point in the last 6 months. The lower rates are due to more more evidence that the economy is softening, again, and as a
flight to safety in global funds as Greece is about to be bailed out, again. Unemployment claims were up again, the Fed regional reports all showed growth slowing, or in the case of the Richmond Fed, contracting, and the first quarter estimate of GDP was lowered for the second time. But the biggest impact on the markets last week was the situation in Greece. The European Union has been trying to keep their currency together with Band-Aids and duct tape. The problem is that the union is made up of some members with strong stable economies, like Germany, and others with high debt and declining prospects, of which Greece is in the forefront. Greece has already gotten one bailout last year, but it wasn’t enough and they are now looking for more help. The big problem here is that Greece is not alone. Portugal, Spain, Ireland and others are lined up for better terms down the road, too. It is likely that there will be some sort of program announced to help Greece this week. Whether it will be enough to fix the problem for the long term is more doubtful.
As mortgage rates drop again, the big question is, how much lower can they go? Over the last six months we have heard a lot about how inflation is just over the horizon. Oil prices have spiked sharply higher and all sorts of commodities including metals and food costs have increased, so that we are feeling a big pinch in our wallets. Congress is still playing chicken with the debt ceiling extension and our national debt is sky high. None of these factors are normally associated with low interest rates. On the other hand (and it seems there always is an other hand), unemployment is staying at a high level, and the housing market is still a mess. These factors normally push rates lower. But the biggest factor may be looking at where we are on a global perspective. Mortgage rates go hand in hand with treasury bond yields. Treasuries have been pounded over the last months as concern over quantitative easing has driven down the dollar in turn caused the spike in prices. The United States when viewed on it’s own has a host of problems, when viewed on a global perspective, it looks more attractive. There is an old saying that in the land of the blind, the one eyed man is king. When compared to Japan, which is dealing with the aftereffects of the earthquake and tsunami as well as a severe recession, and Europe, which many analysts view as a ticking time bomb, the US is still looked at as the high quality alternative. In order for rates to go lower, investors will have to agree to accept a very low yield, but in times of worry, safety comes first.
We don’t know how much lower mortgage rates can go, or how much lower these low rates can last. We do know that these are historically low rates though, and if you missed out on refinancing last time the rates dipped, or if you have been thinking about buying a home, this looks like the time to pull the trigger. The last times rates dropped all the experts were forecasting for even lower rates. Instead, mortgage rates ran up almost a full point and a half. If you could benefit from a mortgage refinance or are looking to buy a new home, give me a call and I will let you know what we can do to help.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 660 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.50% | 4.684% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.875% | 4.076% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 3.125% | 3.234% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 5.125% | 5.247% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.375% with 1 Pt | 4.964% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.50% with 0 Pts | 4.879% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.625% with 1Pt | 4.039% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.875% with 0 Pts | 4.045% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.50% with 1Pt Origination | 4.887% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.75% with 0 Pts | 4.896% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
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tipping, again. If Greece needs a renegotiated bailout, as expected, there are several other countries that will step back in line for another shot at getting it right. This means that the US, even with all of our economic problems, is the safest alternative, and the flight to safety trade has been in effect over the last week, keeping US treasury rates and by extension,
need more help, after their earlier bailouts. The weakness there means more money flows to the safety of United States bonds. Or at least that’s the way it is supposed to work. Right now a big complication is muddying the waters and increasing the market’s stress levels. It is expected that the United States will reach their debt ceiling on Monday night, and congress has to act to extend the limit, or most government spending will be automatically cut off. This isn’t a surprise, everyone has seen this coming for months, but politics doesn’t make for easy solutions, and the two parties are far from any lasting agreement on this matter. The spigot won’t be totally shut off when the ceiling is reached. The government will still be able to tap into some sources of funds like pension accounts for government workers, but this is only a temporary solution. The big issue is spending cuts, and how much to cut and when. The Republicans, especially the Tea Partiers who were elected this last election cycle, want drastic spending cuts now as a precondition of any deal to extend the debt ceiling. The Democrats say they want spending cuts too, but not as drastic and they think that they can be held off until the economy is on stronger ground. If nothing is done this will mean major disruptions for the markets, and a loss in faith for the US system. Some deal is sure to be made, but the questions are when and at what cost?
mortgage interest rates now. All this year the view has been that our economy has been growing and that it may be growing too fast, so inflation was taking hold and interest rates were sure to rise. This week the accepted view has shifted to a belief that our recovery has stalled, and that while inflation still may be a problem in the long term, prices have gotten ahead of themselves for now. If the economy is slowing, lower
is that without their buying support, rates were sure to go straight up. This week at the end of the Fed Open Market Committee meeting, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had a press conference, the first ever for this position, and made it clear that the Fed will stop buying bonds as planned at the end of June, in a sense taking the training wheels off and letting the economy and markets ride on their own. With the confirmation that the policy will end,