Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 06/24/2011
27th June 2011
For this week, the direction trend in mortgage rates is all about Greece. The Greek parliament is scheduled to
vote on new austerity measures Wednesday, a precondition of any European Union bailout. It is almost guaranteed that this measure will pass, as Greece has no other real options, and Germany and France have made it clear that they will not sign on for any more debt relief if the measure doesn’t pass. The mobs in the street are not likely to appreciate this, and the investors in Greek debt aren’t happy either. Creditors, including all the big European and US banks, will lose about 70% of their initial investments. The Greek default has been like a slow motion train wreck, but as it unwinds, the focus will shift to other European economies, with the question being – Who is next?
Greece is the focus now, but there is another crisis on the backburner which is much closer to home. The deadline for extending the debt ceiling is now set for just over a month. If an agreement isn’t reached before this, the markets are likely to sell of weeks beforehand in anticipation – which may be enough to move the deal forward. The negotiations so far have been a high stakes game of chicken between the Republicans and Democrats. Conventional wisdom says that a new debt ceiling will pass, as has happened regularly over the years. Common sense says that this is all posturing and that all sides will come together when the time is right. If an agreement can’t be reached and the deadline expires without an agreement, the US economy would lose its triple A rating, meaning an estimated $100 billion dollars of losses in the bond market, and the US Treasury would pay billions more to repay the debt (Mortgage rates would also spike higher). This is still not likely to happen, but political pressures are making this shakier than it has been in the past. Republicans are pushing for deep cuts in spending with no new taxes in any form. Democrats are offering new revenue from closing corporate loop holes, but this fits the Republican definition of a tax. Someone is sure to blink, but the longer it takes, the messier it will get. This adds to the potential for volatility in the mortgage bond market.
Oil prices fell sharply last week after the announcement of oil releases from reserves. Gas prices were declining before the announcement, and this should push that down further. This helps push the fear of inflation back at least a bit. Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained 59 basis points over the last week, pushing the trend lower, but rates over all remained flat as the big banks are cautious about dropping quickly in such a crazy market. Mortgage rates remain near all time lows. If you have been considering a mortgage refinance, or if you are in the market to buy a home, the timing couldn’t be better. Give me a call if I can help in any way.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 640 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.50% | 4.684% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.75% | 3.967% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 3.125% | 3.234% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 5.125% | 5.247% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 3–1 ARM Jumbo | 3.360% w/ 0 points | 3.452% |
| 5-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.608% w/ 0 points | 3.743% |
| 7-1 ARM Jumbo | 4.00% w/ 0 points | 4.123% |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.375% with 1 Pt | 4.964% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.50% with 0 Pts | 4.879% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.625% with 1Pt | 4.039% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.875% with 0 Pts | 4.045% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.50% with 1Pt Origination | 4.887% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.75% with 0 Pts | 4.896% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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European Union is still the biggest worry. Last week there was rioting in the streets in protest to the the austerity forced upon them. There is no easy answer as to what to do with the situation there, and the union is being tested as the needs of the stronger countries don’t align with those of the weak. Germany and France delayed the crisis with news that they will offer additional support, but this is mostly a band aid, not a real solution. At some point this will come to a head, but for now the decision on what to do has been pushed back to July. There will have to be some kind of bailout again, and when there is, other struggling countries are all ready lined up for their renegotiations.
you will be able to buy. This usually starts out as a short pre-qualification phone call, but before you start looking at homes you need a full pre-approval where you supply all your income and down payment documentation, and have the loan officer run your credit and go through your file with a fine tooth comb to make sure there isn’t anything there that will derail the process down the road. Mortgages are readily available and the
years. The question now is whether this is a pause before rates drop even lower, or with the end of Quantitative easing almost upon us, and with debt ceiling agreement still up in the air, will rates head back higher? The rate trend over the last two months has been toward lower
rates dropped to as low as 4.00% (for the best qualified conventional loans). The consensus at the time was that the economy needed more juice to keep it growing, and that rates were likely to drop even lower still. If you had considered refinancing at the time and missed the boat back then, you know what happened next. The Fed started the Quantitative easing program which pumped more money into the economy. The financial markets switched on a dime and while the big fear before was that the economy was growing too slowly and unemployment was too high, the new fear was that with all this money washing through the system, inflation was about to be unleashed. Rates spiked higher and ran as high as the mid fives. The program that was supposed to drive
at 53.5 compared to 60.4 the month before, much lower than expected. But the capper was the release of the monthly unemployment report on Friday. New claims for unemployment benefits had spiked higher earlier in the week, so the expectation was that this would be a soft report. The report came in showing 54,000 new jobs created over the last month, and the unemployment rate rising from 9.0% to 9.1%. This is a big drop off, the previous months, and being that the economy needs to add about 125,000 jobs each month just to stay even, a very distressing sign. The fear now is that the economy has already run out of steam, and what has so far been a very weak job producing recovery, may be slipping into a double dip recession.This is only one month, so it may be too early to tell, but with the Fed stimulus winding down and the government focus on cutting spending, any growth has to come from the public sector.