With Home Sales Down 27%, What Does This Say About the Chicago Area Housing Market?
27th August 2010
This week the National Association of Realtors announced some grim news – existing home sales were off 27.2% in
July, the worst reading in 15 years. Though this news is grim, it isn’t surprising. The real estate market has been hit hard and with employment high, it isn’t likely to turn around soon. But the numbers don’t tell the whole story.
There are a couple of things to keep in mind that put this number into fuller context:
- First time home buyers bought in force earlier in the year to take advantage of the tax credit. So many buyers who would have otherwise been in the market now, have already bought. July’s numbers were worse than expected, but sales came in stronger earlier in the year.
- Real estate is seasonal. Home sales usually peak in the Spring time, dip in the Summer and then there is usually a smaller increase in the fall. Traditionally, Summer is one of the slowest times for real estate sales. First time home buyers often buy in the Spring after getting their tax refunds, and families want to buy earlier to make sure they allow time to close and be in the house before school starts in late August.
But no matter how you spin it, these numbers are low. This is bad news if you are a homeowner and you are planning on selling your home soon. There are so many people who own a home now and need more space, but are stuck in their current home and have to sell before they can buy. The number of homes for sale has risen, even as home sales have dropped, so the inventory of homes for sale is high. This puts more pressure on home prices to drop even lower. But there is also a good side to this, but only for those who are still on the sidelines and haven’t bought a home yet.
I am seeing contracts on homes in areas I know well, where the prices are going back in time to where they were 10 years ago. With so many homes and so few buyers ready to move now, it is a true buyer’s market, and the home that are selling are selling at great prices. Add to this that mortgage rates are at all time lows, and this means that mortgage payments are going even further back in the time machine. Affordability is the key to any recovery now, and I do expect to see some increase in sales over the next months. And for those who do buy, homes are now more affordable than they have been in years. And in the long run, this is a good thing.
Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
Illinois Mortgage Rates First time home buyer loans
Chicago FHA Mortgage Company
Posted in Economics and Trends, First Time Home Buyers | 1 Comment »




Good news for many short sale and foreclosure buyers, Congress passed and President Obama has now signed a bill to give homebuyers another three months to close on their home loans and receive tax credits up to $8,000 ($6,500 for move up buyers). The bill applies ONLY to homebuyers who had a signed contract to purchase a home by the April 30, 2010 deadline. The bill extends the deadline to September 30, 2010, for homebuyers to close on their real estate transaction.
Another new change in the mortgage industry starts today, June 1st – the adoption of the Fannie Mae Loan Quality Initiative. This initiative is an order from Fannie Mae, the largest buyer of mortgages in the mortgage aftermarket, that all lenders who want to sell them loans must do extra due diligence, and check to make sure that there are no red flags that the lender would have otherwise missed. Most of these changes are ones that have already been adopted over the last year, like running social security numbers through a data base to make sure they are correct, and pulling IRS tax transcripts on every transaction. But there is one new ingredient to this mix which is likely to throw the industry for a loop, and delay and in some cases blow up the closing on the last day. This new change is that starting with applications taken today, June 1st, any loans sold to Fannie Mae will have to have a credit report run again on the day of funding to make sure that the borrower has not taken on any additional debt. If they have new accounts, or if they have inquiries on their credit report which means that they could have opened new credit but it hasn’t shown up yet, the loan has to go back to the underwriter and more research has to be done to see if this is a problem, or not.
and these changes mean it will be more expensive for home buyers.

dead line from November 30th on to April 30th for getting a home under contract, and another 60 days to close the loan, making the credit available for closings up to the end of June. The proposed bill will lower the amount of the credit from $8,000 to $7,290 (or 10% of the sales price, whichever is less) and make the credit available to move up buyers who have owned their home for at least 5 years. Under the proposed agreement, the income caps for first time home buyers would remain at $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for married couples, but move up buyers would still qualify with incomes of $125,000 for individuals and $250,000 for married couples. This bill will be added to an unemployment benefits extension bill, and Bloomberg is reporting that there are enough votes committed to pass the bill.
to buy a home?
pushed back the date that the new condo approval process starts from October 1st back to November 2nd. FHA has been the go to program for home buyers who don’t have a big down payment saved up, and the FHA spot condo has been on fire over the last year. The FHA spot loan is a way for buyers to purchase condos that aren’t on the FHA approved list (most condos aren’t) as long as they meet FHA guidelines. The program has been a great boon to home buyers, but there were a lot of otherwise well managed properties that didn’t fit the guidelines. At the beginning of the summer HUD announced that they were overhauling the process for approving condos. The new