Is FHA About To Get Tougher? Why FHA Is, and Will Continue To Be, the Best Option For Most Home Buyers
10th December 2009
Foreclosures rule the mortgage world. With home prices way down from where they were a few years ago, and unemployment so much higher, foreclosures are still surging. The sad fact
is that a record number of homeowners are in default and can’t pay their mortgages. A home foreclosure is a tragedy for the home owner and a problem for the community. The wave of foreclosures has also wreaked havoc in the mortgage industry. I don’t have much sympathy for the banks that made the loans because they knew what they were doing, or should have, and they made too many risky loans when the housing market was riding high. But the foreclosure wave has also had a big impact on the buyers who want to buy a home now, and it is effecting what they can afford and how they can qualify.
Everything moves in cycles, and if the pendulum swings too far in one direction, you can be sure it will swing too far back in the other direction. The fog the mirror underwriting of a few years ago has been replaced by underwriting where you need everything but a blood sample in order to qualify. Conventional financing just got another round of tightening with the release next week of DU 8.0, and it looks like FHA’s time is coming up soon. There has been a lot of press lately about how FHA has gone below its 2% reserve level and that the program is in trouble. I think we need a little perspective here. It wasn’t FHA loans which caused the economy to blow up, and all the big banks, as well as the big GSEs (Fannie and Freddie), have already either been taken over by the government or are only around because they took government TARP money. FHA still has billions in reserve, and is still supporting the housing industry.
HUD Chief Sean Donovan talked about the future of FHA the other week, and came up with some possible ways to grow the FHA reserve fund.
Some of the ideas mentioned included:
- Increasing the down payment from 3.5% to 5%.
- Minimum credit score standards.
- Increasing the up-front mortgage insurance premium from 1.75% to 2.25%.
- Lowering the amount that sellers can contribute toward closing costs from 6% of the sales price down to 3%.
I doubt if raising the down payment a bit would have much of an impact, and even though FHA doesn’t have minimum credit scores, all the lenders that administer the program already do. The other ideas may make more sense (especially if the up-front mortgage insurance increase is based on risk). There is a lot of political pressure to do something, but they could raise the down payment to 20% and require perfect credit and foreclosures will still be a problem if the unemployment rate stays high (this is the problem with conventional loans). Without FHA financing available the housing market would be in a lot worse shape. There has to be a balance between keeping the reserve fund high and still keeping mortgage funds available for the average home buyer. If they tweak the program too hard, home sales and home values will go down, which will cause greater problems to our fragile recovery
I expect that FHA will tighten in some ways (hopefully not too much), but even if they do, FHA mortgages will still be the go-to program for a good portion of the home buying public.
Here are some reasons FHA financing will continue to be the best financing option for many home buyers:
- With FHA the down payment and all the funds needed to close can be a gift.
- FHA still has a common sense approach to credit, and past credit problems are not an obstacle if you can show you have put the problems behind you.
- Under the new rules, FHA offers more flexibility with condominium financing allowing buyers to purchase with minimum down financing units that can’t even be financed conventionally.
- FHA qualification ratios are more flexible than conventional, allowing more buyers to qualify.
- FHA allows non-occupant co-borrowers, so income can be blended in order to qualify.
- FHA offers better pricing for most borrowers with less than a 700 credit score.
- FHA offers better pricing for condos (with less than 25% down payment) and 2-4 unit buildings.
The mission of FHA is to make it possible for more people to afford homes. They may tighten the requirements some, but if they make it too hard, they are defeating their stated purpose. FHA will still be the best loan choice for many home buyers.
Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
Illinois Mortgage Rates First time home buyer loans
Downers Grove Mortgage Company
We Lend in All 50 States
Posted in FHA, Mortgage Programs, Opinions and Prognostications | 4 Comments »



market) is about to roll out the newest version of their Automatic Underwriting System (AUS), DU 8.0. Most loans are now approved through an AUS which is a type of artificial intelligence program. The systems grade each loan for risk and produce a decision which says whether the loan meets their standards, or not. Getting an AUS approval is just the first step. We still have to make sure that all the information entered into the system is correct (garbage in – garbage out) and even if the loan meets Fannie Mae’s guidelines, we need to make sure it fits the extra lender requirements and do all the other things needed to approve a loan. But the odds of getting a conventional loan closed without an AUS approval are beyond slim. It’s not going to happen. So when a new AUS system comes out, this is a big deal.
ressure to increase their loan quality and up their reserves. FHA has already announced that they will be tightening their guidelines too, but because FHA financing was just a sliver of the market when the housing bubble was expanding, it doesn’t have the same level of problems that its conventional cousins do. Also, FHA is set up as a way to make financing affordable for more
low rate for the long term, lower your payment and take some pressure off your budget. The rates now are the lowest I’ve ever seen and I expect when we look back at this a few years from now, they will seem like the bargain of a lifetime. But while rates are low, if you have compared rates you see in the newspaper or on-line, you might think rates are better than they really are. You might also see that some lenders are showing much lower rates than others, when the reality is that we all get our funds from the same sources, and the true rate shouldn’t vary from one lender to the next by more than an 1/8 or 1/4 of a percent. So what gives? Why are some lenders able to show such low, low rates? Are they really able to do something that other mortgage lenders aren’t able to do?
The second step is, how much it will cost to
it is still up near the highs for the year. Oil and gold have had major run ups, and the dollar keeps getting smacked around on the currency market. The government holds new auctions for debt nearly every week and the money supply continues to grow. The economy is still soft, but we are long past the panic and slowly moving forward. At the same time, the Fed is nearing the end of its commitment to buy mortgage backed securities to keep rates low (the Fed has purchased over $1 trillion out of $1.25 trillion promised). All these are usually signs that inflation is heating up, and that
With Thanksgiving on Thursday, this is a short week for the markets. Most of the activity will be on Monday and Tuesday before traders leave early on Wednesday for the extra long week. Existing home sales, the GDP, and consumer confidence measures will all be released this week, as well as several new auctions of government debt. With the shortened week expect more volatility in mortgage rates. Let me know if I can help you with refinancing your current mortgage, or helping you with your loan when you buy a new home. The
and expanded
This is good news for
dead line from November 30th on to April 30th for getting a home under contract, and another 60 days to close the loan, making the credit available for closings up to the end of June. The proposed bill will lower the amount of the credit from $8,000 to $7,290 (or 10% of the sales price, whichever is less) and make the credit available to move up buyers who have owned their home for at least 5 years. Under the proposed agreement, the income caps for first time
this year, it might be time to look at it again and see if lowering your mortgage rate and payment would help you now. A few years back refinancing your mortgage was an automatic any time that
will give you the amount of months that it will take to pay off the closing costs and break even on your new loan. For example, if it costs you $1,600 (this is what I am currently quoting for bank fees and title charges for a no point loan in the Chicago area) and you are saving $50 per month, it will take you 32 months to break even, and every month after that you will be saving money.
The University of Michigan consumer confidence index ticked higher, new weekly claims for unemployment insurance were down again (though still at a high level) and the Fed announced at the end of their meeting that economic activity has picked up. But the troubling news out numbered the good signs by a wide margin. Durable goods orders, a measure of industrial strength, were supposed to go up as a result of the Cash for Clunkers generated orders, but instead it dropped 2.4%. A lot of the good news over the last several months has been about the improvement in the housing market. The numbers for August weren’t nearly as optimistic. Existing home sales fell by 2.7% from the previous month, but were still ahead of sales at this time last year. Home prices are down sharply, though. And the Fed, even though their statement emphasized the upturn, their actions speak louder. They will continue to buy mortgage backed securities through the Spring, and left the door open to extending the program if needed. They know the recovery is still fragile and low interest rates are the key to any housing improvement.