Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 01/27/2012
30th January 2012
Mortgage rates improved last week as the the Fed announced that interest rates will remain “exceptionally low” through late 2014. The Fed does not control mortgage rates. What they do control is the short term rates, the Fed Funds rate and the Discount Rate, which the big banks can borrow at. The Fed has kept rates at a range of 0 – .25%, but effectively 0%. The Fed has a dual mandate, to keep inflation under control, and to encourage employment. With rates this low, inflation hawks have been screaming that we are bound to have high inflation soon. By their statement this week, the Fed is saying this isn’t the biggest concern now. The Fed is saying that the economy remains weak, and the threat of falling back into a recession is a bigger concern. Part of this is obviously what is happening domestically, and trying to give a shot to the housing market. But a big part of this is also a reaction to what is happening in Europe, and trying to inoculate the economy here from slipping further if Europe deteriorates further. Three years is a long time, and knowing that rates will remain low for this period gives investors and businesses confidence in planning. Again, the Fed doesn’t control mortgage rates, these are set by action in the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) markets. But the signal here is that mortgage rates are expected to remain in a low range for quite some time.
As usual, Europe is still a big concern, and Greece is again the focus. The end game for a Greek debt plan is fast approaching, and may occur this week. Germany tried to push through a measure which would allow the ECU to take control of how Greece taxed and spent money, which understandably didn’t go over well with the Greek government or people. Without those controls, there is nothing backing the debt obligations, but it is hard to imagine any sovereign nation giving up that power. The results of the Greek debt talks will either come to an agreement, which in effect will kick the can down the road a little further as no one really expects that they will be able to live up to the terms of the agreement, or will break down, causing new concerns. Regardless of what happens, there are other countries lined up with similar issues which will need to be addressed. The question is whether the problem can be solved at all through forced austerity, or whether they will need to do something to force more growth (which means more inflation).
The reports released here were within the range, but a little less optimistic than what has come out over the last few months. GDP came in a little softer than expected, and inventory build up was a big part of the number. If this inventory isn’t absorbed by the end users, we could see more contraction in the coming months. Unemployment claims also came in a little higher last week, bucking the trend of late. This week could be a blip, but over the last months the trend has been that the economy has steadily improved, though is still too slow to make a real dent in the employment picture. In his State of the Union speech, President Obama talked about a new program that would help any homeowner who is currently paying their mortgage. This is different than the expansion of the HARP refinance program which will kick in im March, and no one knows if this will ever materialize, or what the details will be. If you are in the market to buy a new home, or refinance your current mortgage, mortgage rates are at all time lows. These low rates mean that home buyers can afford more of a home payment than they could when rates were higher, and current home owners have the potential to save a lot.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 640 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 3.875% | 4.067% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.25% | 3.467% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 2.875% | 2.967% APR |
| 7-1 ARM | 3.00% | 3.146% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 4.625% | 4.793% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 3–1 ARM Jumbo | 2.875% w/ 0 points | 3.068% |
| 5-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.25% w/ 0 points | 3.347% |
| 7-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.625% w/ 0 points | 3.773% |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.00% with 0Pt | 4.676% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 3.875% with 1.0 Pts | 4.885% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.625% with 0Pt | 4.079% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.375% with 1 Pts | 4.146% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 3.875% with 1Pt Origination | 4.638% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.00% with 0 Pts | 4.724% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
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of credit ratings for the bonds of nine European countries, including the second largest economy, France. This wasn’t a total surprise. S&P had hinted that they would do this a few weeks back, and bond yields throughout the continent have steadily been moving higher. But once they made it official more money poured out of Europe and into the relative safety of US bonds, and as a side benefit, mortgage bonds. The European Union is meeting for more economic discussions in about two weeks, and we are likely to see more fireworks then. Greece, whose problems were the first to show up, is not dealing well with its forced austerity, and there is a split among the economic powers of how to deal with this. If they push too hard they are likely to give Greece (and others) reason to break away, but if they are too accommodating this encourages more problems. There are no easy solutions, and this could take a long time to unravel. If problems heat up, the flight to quality will mean a push toward lower rates here.
stall. The jobs report is usually the most watched report on the economic calendar, and good news like this would normally cause
policy of Quantitative easing, and the markets were convinced that they would overshoot, leading to an inflationary spiral. This sent the stock market higher, while Treasury bonds and
heading back to their prior range. This dip in rates is of course a reaction to the European situation. Europe now has a plan going forward to prop up the Euro and keep all the weaker economies in line. This week the Union will be meeting to provide extra funding for the region’s troubled economies. The problem is, the markets don’t have a lot of faith that the plan will work in the long run. The rating agencies last week threatened credit rating down grades of France, as well as Belgium, Spain, Italy and several other countries. The question is whether the European Union can stay together, and right now it is being held together by the equivalent of duct tape and chewing gum. The weaker economies have to be considering their options, and deciding which way will be the most painful, sticking with the plan and going with the forced austerity, which will mean job losses and political pressure, or charting their own course which means re-inflating their own currency and trying to make it on their own. Neither option is good, and this pressure will likely keep
but by the end of the week it was clear that nothing had really changed. As has been the case all along, the problem is that the EU is a group forced together by their currency, but each country has their own economy and their situations and needs are different. Germany, the strongest of the group, wants the weaker more debt ridden countries to take on the austerity regime, cut their spending drastically and work their way out of this. While the leaders of these countries are going along with this, for now, this causes political crisis’s for them as austerity and high unemployment is never a popular option. The big fly in the ointment last week was that the United Kingdom, Great Britain, has decided to chart their own course. London is a true financial powerhouse and the center of much of the markets and trading activity. Agreeing to the new pact would have meant their giving up this power. It’s hard to see this agreement sticking when one of the main players refuses to go along.
actions by leaders in Europe to bring their crisis under control. It is a true soap opera over there, and what happens on today has no relation to what may happen tomorrow, and there are more twists and turns yet to come. So optimism now may be replaced by fear again soon, since no one has a true solution that doesn’t cause more pain for some of the participants. The problem here is that each country has their own set of interests to protect. What is good for Germany may not be good for France, and certainly won’t be good for Italy and Spain. But if they don’t all get on board together, the whole union is at risk. There are rumors of a combined global bailout of the European Union, including US participation, but the idea that the Fed will send over US money is a hard sell politically. At the same time, China showing signs that their economy is slowing down quickly, so they aren’t likely to be riding to the rescue of the global economy. Negotiations in Europe are ongoing, so expect more volatility this week.
Union, had its credit rating cut last week, and an auction of German debt, considered nearly as safe as US debt, went badly on Friday. The consensus is that that a default from Greece or Italy is likely, and there is still nothing in place to hold the union together if this happens. The latest date to watch is December 9th, the next scheduled meeting of the European Debt Summit. In the mean time, the markets are still optimistic that a solution will come through. Rumors of a big bailout for Italy were quickly shot down, but hope is still in the air that something will take hold before disaster sets in. If anything happens in Europe this week, this will surely move the markets here.
it may be France’s turn, which is a much bigger problem. French bond yields are exploding and Moodys debt rating service may down grade their debt this week. Whatever happens there will surely be felt over here, and this is still the prime mover of
pops up. This has been described as the Whack a Mole crisis, based on the arcade game where as you hit one mole with a hammer and another pops up on another part of the board. Just because the spotlight has moved away from Italy and Greece this doesn’t meant that their economies are back on track and their problems are cured. It means that they have taken action to diffuse the immediate problem, while the underlying issues still remain. The big problem is that the European Union is broken into the economies that produced more than they spent (Germany is the prime example) and those that consumed more than they produced (Greece, Italy, Spain and others), and that there is no central bank to make decisions for the entire Union. The strategy which benefits one side would punish the other. So this crisis is likely to continue to simmer until something forces a decision. This matters here in the US because the global economy is completely interlinked. Our big banks have loans outstanding throughout Europe, and our industry exports to Europe. If Europe falls we will feel the ripples.