Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 11/12/2011
14th November 2011
News from Europe continues to drive the market. Greece is old news and Italy has bought some time now that Prime Minister Berlusconi has resigned. But Spanish bond yields are now hitting new highs which means that Spain may be the next point of concern. As one crisis is defused another inevitably
pops up. This has been described as the Whack a Mole crisis, based on the arcade game where as you hit one mole with a hammer and another pops up on another part of the board. Just because the spotlight has moved away from Italy and Greece this doesn’t meant that their economies are back on track and their problems are cured. It means that they have taken action to diffuse the immediate problem, while the underlying issues still remain. The big problem is that the European Union is broken into the economies that produced more than they spent (Germany is the prime example) and those that consumed more than they produced (Greece, Italy, Spain and others), and that there is no central bank to make decisions for the entire Union. The strategy which benefits one side would punish the other. So this crisis is likely to continue to simmer until something forces a decision. This matters here in the US because the global economy is completely interlinked. Our big banks have loans outstanding throughout Europe, and our industry exports to Europe. If Europe falls we will feel the ripples.
This was a light week for US economic data, but the news released was mostly positive. First-time jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 390,000. This was the best showing in the last seven months. The U.S. trade balance dropping to $43.1 billion in September from $44.9 billion the previous month, which was much better than expected. The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence survey rose to 64.2 from the last reading of 60.9, its best level in the last five months. The economy here is gradually improving, but the storm clouds from Europe over shadow everything. Another thing the markets are watching is the results of the Congressional Super Committee’s debt report. Because congress was deadlocked and Democrats and Republicans were miles apart on how to bring the budget deficit under control (massive cuts, tax increases or a combination), they handed responsibility off to a bi-partisan committee with the mission to put politics aside and come up with a viable solution. If the committee doesn’t come to an agreement, this will trigger automatic spending cuts and tax increases which will hurt both sides. The idea here is similar to that of MAD (mutually assured destruction) which has kept the world safe from nuclear war as the idea of using your weapon means your automatic destruction. It’s a good thing our political parties don’t have nuclear weapons as they would probably use them against one another. No one expects an agreement to come out, and the this may hurt the economy, and reverberate in the markets.
Mortgage rates continue to ride the roller coaster, and volatility remains at all time highs. The news of the day determines that day’s mortgage pricing, but we are still at all time lows. We are still in the same range as where we ended last week. This is the time to act, whether you are buying a new home or refinancing your current mortgage.
In real estate news, this is the week we are supposed to get the new Harp refinance rules. The Harp program is designed to allow homeowners who are current on their mortgage payment refinance their mortgages ito take advantage of the lower rates, even if their values are under water. The original program helped a lot of home owners, but not nearly as many as was needed, because the initial rules put limits on the values, and lenders then cut these limits even further. The first go around of this program helped only those who were already in the best positions. The new re-do of the program is supposed to cure these problems and open refinancing to all the responsible buyers who have been shut out up until now. This program only applies to loans that are held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (though they are serviced by others, so you make your payments to some other bank or servicing company). We will have details this week and I will post them once I have a chance to read through them. The first applications can be taken as of December 1st. If you want some more information on whether this program will help you and fit your situation, give me a call.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 640 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.00% | 4.178% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.50% | 3.648% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 2.75% | 2.879% APR |
| 7-1 ARM | 3.00% | 3.157% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 4.5% | 4.883% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 3–1 ARM Jumbo | 2.875% w/ 0 points | 3.068% |
| 5-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.25% w/ 0 points | 3.347% |
| 7-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.625% w/ 0 points | 3.773% |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.25% with 0Pt | 4.876% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.00% with .1.0 Pts | 4.885% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.625% with 0Pt | 4.079% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.375% with 1 Pts | 4.146% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.25% with 1Pt Origination | 4.638% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.50% with 0 Pts | 4.724% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
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them solvent. This didn’t look like a long term solution, no one really knew where the money was going to come from. But the solution turned out to be much shorter than anyone expected, about one day, when Greece’s Prime Minister threw a curve by calling for a national referendum on the bail out plan. Greece is still trying to figure out how it can best get through this crisis, the problem is that Greece is just the first domino. If the first domino remains standing, they all stay up. If it starts to fall, look out, there is a whole line of countries set up and waiting. The focus now has shifted over to Italy, a much larger economy. This time band aids won’t do, and no one knows how to make the tourniquets work. The whole global economy is tightly connected and what happens in Europe will be felt throughout the world.
economy. Now comes the hard part, implementing the deal and making it work. This agreement takes the worst fears off the table for now, but many analysts don’t think this is the end of the crisis, but more of a pause in the action. The amount authorized may not be enough to cover the problem, and even if it is, we still don’t know how they will raise the money (will China come to the rescue?). There is still a big disconnect between the have and the have not nations, and every time something needs to change. it has to be agreed to by all 17 European Union member countries. This is sure to be an ongoing issue, but the markets will put this on the back burner as all the details get worked out.
news reports are based on the Freddie Mac loan survey, and this survey is always a week behind. In the real world,
optimism that some kind of solution would take hold. There was talk that China was going to come in as a big buyer of Italian debt, but that turned out to be premature. The Fed along with European central banks came up with a plan to add liquidity to the market, but this was a way to keep dollars flowing not a long term structural solution. By the end of the week the situation was almost the same as where it was at the start. Greece is still on the brink and Europe is still the focus.
others) will follow, triggering a collapse of the European Union. Greece has wobbled on the ledge for a while, but it looks like it has now reached the tipping point. A meeting of top European financial ministers broke up this weekend with no clear direction. The big question has been whether the stronger countries – scratch that – if Germany will do what it needs to bail out Greece and keep the union intact. So far they have said they will, but doubts have crept in. France, the second strongest economy in Europe, is now facing a credit down grade of their own and it looks more and more like Germany will have to do all the heavy lifting on their own. This isn’t a popular stance internally, and a hard sell for politicians to support. After the meeting this weekend, the markets are now expecting Greece to default.
downgrade of US debt . So as investors sold out of stocks, where did the money go? Right into the now lower rated US debt. The markets have spoken, and as dysfunctional and debt ridden as we are, the United States is still the benchmark, and still considered the safest port in the storm. The European Union is trying to hold itself together as the ground is crumbling. The big news there last week was that France, after Germany the second strongest economy in Europe, was about to get a downgrade of its own. The hope has been that Germany and France will join together to back a new Euro-bond which will bail out the weaker countries, but as the crisis deepens, the stronger countries are looking at what is best for them. The result has been extreme volatility in all markets. The Dow lost 600 points on Monday, rebounded 400 points on Tuesday and was close to where it started by the end of the week. Mortgage bonds, which are the basis for
stock market plunging , a ray of hope for the weakening economy with the monthly jobs report, and ended with a bang, after the markets closed, with Standard and Poors (one of 3 private rating agencies) downgrading the credit rating of the United States. This all has the feeling of August 2008. Strap on your belts, this roller coaster is going to be a crazy ride.
to pay their bills. Initially, the bottleneck was with the most conservative Republicans in the House of Representatives. These Tea Party backed congressman, mostly freshman elected last year, wanted cuts over and above what the Republican leadership sought, and only agreed to a deal with a balanced budget amendment added in (which has no chance of ever passing). A Democratic bill in the Senate designed to meet the Republican demands (no new revenue sources, deep cuts in spending) stalled quickly as most of the Republican delegation signed a letter stating that they wouldn’t support it, meaning the bill would be filibustered and never brought up for a vote. So it was back to the drawing board with the clock ticking down. Sunday night a new agreement was reached, one that was acceptable to both Republican and Democratic leadership, and that the President will sign off on. This still isn’t a done deal, though. Many Republicans are angry at triggers in the bill that could slash defense spending, and many Democrats think their leadership gave away the store and are threatening to try and kill the bill. It is still likely that this, or something close will go through and we will avoid a default. But this whole charade is an example of pure politics and government at its worst, and the uncertainty this debate has raised can’t be good for confidence in the economy going forward.