Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 11/18/2011
21st November 2011
This promises to be an interesting week coming up, as volatility is increasing, and traders here in the US will have a short week due to Thanksgiving. You won’t be surprised to hear that Europe is still the focus of the markets. First it was Europe, then Spain and Italy took the spotlight, now
it may be France’s turn, which is a much bigger problem. French bond yields are exploding and Moodys debt rating service may down grade their debt this week. Whatever happens there will surely be felt over here, and this is still the prime mover of mortgage rates. Mortgage bonds last week were all over the board, but ended the week just slightly off from where they began. Mortgage rates are about the same. from last week.
If you take Europe out of the mix, the economy here in the United States is actually improving. Initial unemployment claims last week were at their lowest point since April, continuing an improving trend. Industrial production came in higher and retail sales also rose .5% over October and up 7.9% compared to this same time last year. If slow and steady wins the race, we are at least moving in the right direction. One stumbling block to be cleared this week will be how the markets react to the Congressional Super Committee debt reduction plan, or rather their lack of a plan. This Super Committee, evenly made up of Republicans and Democrats, was tasked with reducing the debt by at least $1.4 trillion over the next ten years. Because congress itself wasn’t able to make any progress with this, they put a guillotine over the committee’s heads, so that if a plan isn’t agreed to, major cuts will automatically set in, geared toward hurting spending programs favored by both sides. But our system is largely broken, and even with big incentives to make this work, it has been leaked that the results will be no plan at all. The sticking point seems to be taxes. Republicans were against any tax hike of any kind (though they did have some revenue increases they offered) and Democrats were unwilling to make deep slashes in entitlements without corresponding tax increases. So the guillotine will drop, but conveniently, it doesn’t fall until January of 2012, and their is an election in between. Now it comes down to the election. If Obama and the Democrats win, the Bush tax cuts will expire and this will mean a big reduction of the debt on its own. If Republicans win, expect deep slashes in spending once they take over. The question now is whether the markets will wait to see what happens, or if they will react to this failure now.
In one great piece of real estate news, the high cost FHA loan limits were restored. This bill was passed by congress and signed into law on Thursday. This means that more homes on the upper price limits will now be available for low down payment FHA financing. The HUD site hasn’t been updated yet, but this will mean that the single family limit here in the Chicago area will be raised back to $410,000, from where it was at $365,700. This means a big jump in purchasing power for borrowers who needed or preferred FHA financing, and a boost for the housing market.
The new HARP refinance guidelines were released last week, but we are still missing two pieces of the puzzle. This program is a reboot of an earlier program designed to help homeowners who are still current on their mortgages though their homes have lost value. This new version of the program allows borrowers to refinance, even if they are deep under water, that is, they have considerable negative equity in their homes. The program as written will help a lot of homeowners, but the two things we are still waiting for may make this program less beneficial for some. First, we are still waiting for the lenders interpretation of how to run this program. In the first version the government allowed the refinance for borrowers whose mortgages were up to 125% of their value, or 25% below water level. But most lenders wouldn’t go that high. The new version takes away much of the lender’s risk by waiving the normal warranties that are part of the agreement when the lender sells the mortgage to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Still, their is a big chance that they will water down the program to make sure they don’t take on additional risk with these new loans. The other thing we are waiting for is the pricing. These are a whole new class of mortgage bonds, and as such, they will be priced higher. Until we know how much higher they will be priced, it is impossible to know how many people will actually be able to benefit from this program. The program officially starts on December 1st, so we should have answers to these questions soon.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 640 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.00% | 4.178% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.50% | 3.648% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 2.75% | 2.879% APR |
| 7-1 ARM | 3.00% | 3.157% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 4.5% | 4.883% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 3–1 ARM Jumbo | 2.875% w/ 0 points | 3.068% |
| 5-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.25% w/ 0 points | 3.347% |
| 7-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.625% w/ 0 points | 3.773% |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.25% with 0Pt | 4.876% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.00% with .1.0 Pts | 4.885% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.625% with 0Pt | 4.079% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.375% with 1 Pts | 4.146% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.25% with 1Pt Origination | 4.638% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.50% with 0 Pts | 4.724% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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pops up. This has been described as the Whack a Mole crisis, based on the arcade game where as you hit one mole with a hammer and another pops up on another part of the board. Just because the spotlight has moved away from Italy and Greece this doesn’t meant that their economies are back on track and their problems are cured. It means that they have taken action to diffuse the immediate problem, while the underlying issues still remain. The big problem is that the European Union is broken into the economies that produced more than they spent (Germany is the prime example) and those that consumed more than they produced (Greece, Italy, Spain and others), and that there is no central bank to make decisions for the entire Union. The strategy which benefits one side would punish the other. So this crisis is likely to continue to simmer until something forces a decision. This matters here in the US because the global economy is completely interlinked. Our big banks have loans outstanding throughout Europe, and our industry exports to Europe. If Europe falls we will feel the ripples.
them solvent. This didn’t look like a long term solution, no one really knew where the money was going to come from. But the solution turned out to be much shorter than anyone expected, about one day, when Greece’s Prime Minister threw a curve by calling for a national referendum on the bail out plan. Greece is still trying to figure out how it can best get through this crisis, the problem is that Greece is just the first domino. If the first domino remains standing, they all stay up. If it starts to fall, look out, there is a whole line of countries set up and waiting. The focus now has shifted over to Italy, a much larger economy. This time band aids won’t do, and no one knows how to make the tourniquets work. The whole global economy is tightly connected and what happens in Europe will be felt throughout the world.
economy. Now comes the hard part, implementing the deal and making it work. This agreement takes the worst fears off the table for now, but many analysts don’t think this is the end of the crisis, but more of a pause in the action. The amount authorized may not be enough to cover the problem, and even if it is, we still don’t know how they will raise the money (will China come to the rescue?). There is still a big disconnect between the have and the have not nations, and every time something needs to change. it has to be agreed to by all 17 European Union member countries. This is sure to be an ongoing issue, but the markets will put this on the back burner as all the details get worked out.
news reports are based on the Freddie Mac loan survey, and this survey is always a week behind. In the real world,
optimism that some kind of solution would take hold. There was talk that China was going to come in as a big buyer of Italian debt, but that turned out to be premature. The Fed along with European central banks came up with a plan to add liquidity to the market, but this was a way to keep dollars flowing not a long term structural solution. By the end of the week the situation was almost the same as where it was at the start. Greece is still on the brink and Europe is still the focus.
others) will follow, triggering a collapse of the European Union. Greece has wobbled on the ledge for a while, but it looks like it has now reached the tipping point. A meeting of top European financial ministers broke up this weekend with no clear direction. The big question has been whether the stronger countries – scratch that – if Germany will do what it needs to bail out Greece and keep the union intact. So far they have said they will, but doubts have crept in. France, the second strongest economy in Europe, is now facing a credit down grade of their own and it looks more and more like Germany will have to do all the heavy lifting on their own. This isn’t a popular stance internally, and a hard sell for politicians to support. After the meeting this weekend, the markets are now expecting Greece to default.
downgrade of US debt . So as investors sold out of stocks, where did the money go? Right into the now lower rated US debt. The markets have spoken, and as dysfunctional and debt ridden as we are, the United States is still the benchmark, and still considered the safest port in the storm. The European Union is trying to hold itself together as the ground is crumbling. The big news there last week was that France, after Germany the second strongest economy in Europe, was about to get a downgrade of its own. The hope has been that Germany and France will join together to back a new Euro-bond which will bail out the weaker countries, but as the crisis deepens, the stronger countries are looking at what is best for them. The result has been extreme volatility in all markets. The Dow lost 600 points on Monday, rebounded 400 points on Tuesday and was close to where it started by the end of the week. Mortgage bonds, which are the basis for
stock market plunging , a ray of hope for the weakening economy with the monthly jobs report, and ended with a bang, after the markets closed, with Standard and Poors (one of 3 private rating agencies) downgrading the credit rating of the United States. This all has the feeling of August 2008. Strap on your belts, this roller coaster is going to be a crazy ride.