With Mortgage Rates at All Time Lows, When Does it Make Sense to Take On An Adjustable Rate Mortgage?
26th July 2010
With mortgage rates at all time lows, it makes a lot of sense to fix in your rate and refinance at what may turn out to
be the lowest real rates ever. Getting a fixed rate mortgage makes a whole lot of sense for any one who is pretty sure that they will be in their home for a long time. But even now, even with fixed rates as low as they are, fixed rate mortgages aren’t the right choice for everyone. Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs) are priced even lower, and though you are taking on some extra risk, they are the best choice for many. The question is, when does it make sense to go with an adjustable rate mortgage. ARMs are structured in different ways, but the most popular, and safest ARMs are the longer term adjustables which are fixed for a period of time before adjusting. Most ARMs amortize, or pay down, over 30 years, just like the most popular fixed rates. The difference is that the rate is only fixed in for a specific period of time, and then it floats, up or down based on what is happening in the market. The time that the rate is fixed in can be as short as one year, or as long as 10 years. The rates are usually lowest for the shortest periods because you are taking on more risk that the loan will be higher if mortgage rates increase. When you are looking at ARMs, you want to get the lowest total cost for the time you plan on being in the home (or the mortgage). Taking a 1 year or even a 3 year ARM rarely makes sense in a market like this. But a longer term may be a great deal. The 7-1 ARM (fixed for the first 7 years then adjusts once a year after that) is over 1/2 a point less than a comparable 30 year fixed rate mortgage. If you don’t plan to stay with your mortgage forever, this could save you thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.
Questions to ask to see if an Adjustable Rate Mortgage is the right choice for you:
How long do you think you will be in the home? A lot of this has to do with where you are in life, and what you expect to happen in the future. Are you a single income now, but expect to have a spouse working down the road? Do you expect to out grow this home as your family grows? Do you expect to be transferred or are going to need to move out of the area at some point? Or maybe you are at the other end of the spectrum and have kids who are finishing up with school and are thinking about downsizing in the future. The key is that if you have a good understanding of your future needs, and you really don’t expect to be in the home past a certain point, an ARM may be the right choice.
Is your income steady, declining, or likely to go higher? Are you a single income now, but expect to have a spouse working down the road? Are you in a job where you know that your income will be higher as time goes by? If you feel confident that your income will rise, an adjustable could be a good way to go. On the other hand, if your income is likely to be topped out and you don’t expect raises of more than the cost of living in the future, you are better served by going with a fixed rate where you will know the payment is going to stay affordable, even if you are there longer than expected and interest rates jump.
Do you have extra money coming in that you can use to pay down the mortgage? I’ve worked with borrowers who get get bonus as a substantial amount of their compensation. If you are getting a smaller monthly payment, but a big check once or twice a year, it may be easier to keep the monthly payment small and then pay extra toward the mortgage when you get these big checks. ARMs fit in well here (Interest only mortgages are sometimes appropriate, too). Everyone’s circumstances are different. The best approach is to match your needs to the loan that is most appropriate for you.
What is your risk tolerance? Will you be able to sleep at night if rates do move higher? With mortgage rates at all time lows, we know that rates have to go up, the only question is when, and how much. If your circumstances change, and it looks like you will need to stay in the mortgage longer than you planned, is this going to add to your stress? There are safety features built in, but if you are still in the loan when the payment adjusts, it could be a big jump. You will have saved a lot of money up to that point, but unless you used the savings as part of an investment plan, you need to be ready for the higher payment. Consider your risk level and temperament before choosing an ARM. There are a lot of people who would benefit financially from and adjustable rate loan, who still are better off taking on a fixed rate loan.
The other thing to keep in mind when deciding which loan is right for you, is that the future doesn’t always turn out like we expect. There are a lot of homeowners now who are stuck in homes too small for their needs because they can’t afford to sell and buy a new home with the market conditions now. For most home buyers who took on ARMS years ago, their adjusted rates have fallen as the ARMs came due. That probably won’t happen in the future, but if you match up your real needs and an accurate estimate of what your situation will be over the years you plan to be in the home, an Adjustable Rate Mortgage can save you a lot.
Peter Thompson 630-479-6424
Illinois Mortgage Rates First time home buyer loans
Chicago Mortgage Company
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the mid or even low 5s), are now considered high. You may be able to lower your payment by a lot, often with no closing costs. For homeowners that are able to take advantage of the lower rates, this can mean big savings over time. With home prices lower and tougher qualifying requirements, refinancing is tougher than it used to be. But there are still a number of mortgage programs which make it easier to refinance now. One of the easiest and most beneficial loans available is the FHA Streamline Refinance.
rates. The reason for the drop in rates is due to fear of softness in the economy, and this isn’t good news. But when you , if you can save money by refinancing your mortgage this could help by lowering your monthly payment or cutting years off your loan and paying your house off early.
The next step is to find out how much it will cost to refinance. This is where it can get confusing. If you have spent any time on the Internet, you’ve seen lots of ads for mortgage companies claiming they offer the lowest rates. But low rates don’t mean a thing if you don’t look at the closing costs too. I’ve seen closing costs differ by as much as $6,000, so this is something that can make a huge difference. Closing costs include title fees, the cost of the appraisal and bank charges as well as points – which are upfront financing charges.
low rate for the long term, lower your payment and take some pressure off your budget. The rates now are the lowest I’ve ever seen and I expect when we look back at this a few years from now, they will seem like the bargain of a lifetime. But while rates are low, if you have compared rates you see in the newspaper or on-line, you might think rates are better than they really are. You might also see that some lenders are showing much lower rates than others, when the reality is that we all get our funds from the same sources, and the true rate shouldn’t vary from one lender to the next by more than an 1/8 or 1/4 of a percent. So what gives? Why are some lenders able to show such low, low rates? Are they really able to do something that other mortgage lenders aren’t able to do?
The second step is, how much it will cost to refinance?
the economy was still in free fall. Back then, from the beginning of the year until the start of the Summer, mortgage rates were in a flat, even pattern and the low rates were as stable as I have ever seen. By nature, mortgage rates are volatile. Mortgage rates aren’t set, but determined in a market (mortgage backed securities, a type of bond), just like with stocks or other financial instruments. Mortgage bonds bounce around from day to day based on economic reports and changes in trader sentiment. Mortgage bonds are long term investments, so the traders are looking for signs of inflation, which is the enemy of any fixed rate investment. Back in the Spring the big worry was deflation, not inflation, and the Fed had committed to a huge purchase of 1.25 trillion dollars in mortgage backed securities in order to keep mortgage interest rates low. The Fed purchases did the trick, and rates stayed in the low stable range until worries about the build up in public debt shook the market up at the end of May. We are in a very different situation now. The Fed is nearly finished with its buy back program, and with all the debt the government has taken on to keep the economy moving, inflation fears are high (even though there is no sign of inflation now).
this year, it might be time to look at it again and see if lowering your mortgage rate and payment would help you now. A few years back refinancing your mortgage was an automatic any time that mortgage rates dropped. It is more complicated now because mortgage guidelines have gotten tighter, making it harder for some to qualify, and with home prices down it isn’t a slam dunk that your home will appraise out to the value needed. But there are programs which make it easier to refinance even if you don’t have a lot of equity (or none) in your home.
will give you the amount of months that it will take to pay off the closing costs and break even on your new loan. For example, if it costs you $1,600 (this is what I am currently quoting for bank fees and title charges for a no point loan in the Chicago area) and you are saving $50 per month, it will take you 32 months to break even, and every month after that you will be saving money.
refinance into a lower rate mortgage without having to get a new appraisal or prove their income. The idea behind the program is that these borrowers have already qualified for the loan, and if they could afford the higher payment, they would be in better shape with a lower rate and a lower payment. The FHA streamline refinance or FHA refinance loan has always been a good program, but in this market, with home values down and appraisals a consistent problem, it has been a God send for many, allowing some borrowers to save up to hundreds of dollars each month. But FHA has come under pressure as a result of all the problems in the housing market, so they are making moves to cut their risk and save money. This means that as of loans assigned case numbers after November 17th, the FHA Streamline refinance as we know it will be gone.
The FHA streamlined refinance is only available for borrowers who currently have an FHA mortgage (if you don’t, you can still refinance into an FHA mortgage, but it will be a fully documented mortgage). Because FHA is a government program, and its mission is to increase home ownership, they have designed this program as a way to make it easier for borrowers who are already paying their mortgage on time to lower their payments without going through the entire qualifying process.
near their lowest levels of the last 40 years. Rates were so low because the economy was in free fall, and the Fed had made it its stated mission to keep mortgage rates low to stabilize the real estate market. After announcing that they would continue to buy mortgage backed securities (with a budget of 1.25 trillion dollars) the normally volatile mortgage rates market settled into a pattern so dull and boring that the rates became predictable. This range lasted for months, but all good things must come to an end, and as June came in the market swooned. Markets are ruled by emotion, and the fear of economic collapse was now gone, but the fear of inflation (from printing new money to pay for all the new spending) took hold. There was talk of green shoots, and many market participants thought the economy was about to rebound quickly. The stock market surged, and mortgage rates went up nearly a full point from their low to the high point. Mortgage refinances stopped over night, and while the purchase market kept on going, higher rates cut down on the purchasing power of many first time home buyers. But, déjà vu, we are now coming right back to where we were before the market tanked and rates are dropping again.
has shrunk in the what types of mortgages are available. There used to be a wide variety of mortgage options available but with the mortgage meltdown the options have narrowed so that the only mortgages currently written are conventional and Government fixed rate loans. Many of the now extinct loans (Sub Prime and Option ARMs) were exotic varieties which were appropriate for some situations, but were abused and rolled out to borrowers who didn’t fit the profile for benefitting from the loan, often didn’t understand what they were getting in to, and these abuses were a big cause of the mess we find ourselves in. One of the biggest casualties of the mortgage melt down has been Jumbo loans, but they might be making a comeback.
bright spots in a gloomy economy. That is, it’s been a bright spot for those who were able to refinance, but for the most part, those refinancing have fit into one of two categories, well qualified borrowers who had plenty of equity in their homes, or home owners with FHA loans who could take advantage of the
There are some issues to get through before this program reaches its full potential, but it will help a lot of people just as it is. Here are some of the features of the new Obama mortgage plan, DU Refi Plus: