They’re Back!!! Mortgage Rates Are Down to Their Lows For the Year – Again
26th November 2009
Mortgage rates are down to the lowest rates of the year, again. We are now hitting the best rates we saw last Spring in the midst of the refinance boom when
the economy was still in free fall. Back then, from the beginning of the year until the start of the Summer, mortgage rates were in a flat, even pattern and the low rates were as stable as I have ever seen. By nature, mortgage rates are volatile. Mortgage rates aren’t set, but determined in a market (mortgage backed securities, a type of bond), just like with stocks or other financial instruments. Mortgage bonds bounce around from day to day based on economic reports and changes in trader sentiment. Mortgage bonds are long term investments, so the traders are looking for signs of inflation, which is the enemy of any fixed rate investment. Back in the Spring the big worry was deflation, not inflation, and the Fed had committed to a huge purchase of 1.25 trillion dollars in mortgage backed securities in order to keep mortgage interest rates low. The Fed purchases did the trick, and rates stayed in the low stable range until worries about the build up in public debt shook the market up at the end of May. We are in a very different situation now. The Fed is nearly finished with its buy back program, and with all the debt the government has taken on to keep the economy moving, inflation fears are high (even though there is no sign of inflation now).
The low rates earlier this year were much more understandable. A lot of experts now are shaking their heads and wondering why the rates have improved so much now, and whether these low rates will last. The saying is that bad news for the economy is good news for mortgage rates, but the economic reports coming in now are mixed. The stock market is still holding unto its gains and the dollar is weak, which usually means higher mortgage rates. It seems like there are 2 major reasons that rates are so good now:
1. The margin between mortgage backed securities and treasury bills is shrinking. Mortgage backed securities typically go in the same direction as the 10 year T Bill. US Treasury notes are considered the safest investment in the world, and since they are backed by the US government, there is no risk that the bonds won’t be repaid. With the margin shrinking, this means that investors are looking at mortgages as a safer investment than they considered it before.
2. Investors are finally convinced that the Fed intends to keep short term rates low for an extended time, so long term rates (like mortgages) have less upward pressure.
This is a real surprise that rates are this low now, but if you are able to refinance your mortgage and save up to hundreds of dollars a month, one more reason for Thanksgiving (I had to get that in somehow). If past history is a guide, the lowest rates won’t last long. If you’ve been holding off for the right time to refinance your mortgage, this looks like the time to pull the trigger.
We offer every type of refinance including:
Conventional refinances including no cost mortgage refinances
DU Refi Plus and Obama refinance programs
FHA cash out and rate reduction mortgages
VA IRRL- Veterans Administration streamlined refinance
Jumbo refinances
Refinancing now isn’t as easy as it used to be. With property values down, home appraisals are coming in low and we require more documentation than we used to. But rates this low aren’t going to last forever. If you could benefit from refinancing your mortgage, give me a call and I’ll see what I can do to help you.
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Posted in Economics and Trends, Refinancing | 3 Comments »



this year, it might be time to look at it again and see if lowering your mortgage rate and payment would help you now. A few years back refinancing your mortgage was an automatic any time that
will give you the amount of months that it will take to pay off the closing costs and break even on your new loan. For example, if it costs you $1,600 (this is what I am currently quoting for bank fees and title charges for a no point loan in the Chicago area) and you are saving $50 per month, it will take you 32 months to break even, and every month after that you will be saving money.
The FHA streamlined
near their lowest levels of the last 40 years. Rates were so low because the economy was in free fall, and the Fed had made it its stated mission to keep
has shrunk in the what types of mortgages are available. There used to be a wide variety of mortgage options available but with the mortgage meltdown the options have narrowed so that the only mortgages currently written are conventional and Government fixed rate loans. Many of the now extinct loans (Sub Prime and Option ARMs) were exotic varieties which were appropriate for some situations, but were abused and rolled out to borrowers who didn’t fit the profile for benefitting from the loan, often didn’t understand what they were getting in to, and these abuses were a big cause of the mess we find ourselves in. One of the biggest casualties of the mortgage melt down has been Jumbo loans, but they might be making a comeback.
bright spots in a gloomy economy. That is, it’s been a bright spot for those who were able to
There are some issues to get through before this program reaches its full potential, but it will help a lot of people just as it is. Here are some of the features of the new Obama mortgage plan, DU Refi Plus:
mortgage to lower their rate and lower their payment without going through all the qualifying they had to when they first got the loan. FHA is a government program, and the idea is that if you are able to make your payments on time with a higher rate, you will be in a better position with a lower rate, so they made qualifying as easy as possible. You don’t need to show any income or assets, the biggest credit issue is whether you are paying your mortgage on time (some lenders have established minimum credit scores), you can roll in most of your costs and in most cases you don’t even need to get a new appraisal. FHA is the biggest government loan program and FHA streamlines are very popular. But one of the best kept secrets in the mortgage business is that VA, the other big government loan, also has a streamlined program.
finance your purchase), this is probably the big question on your mind. But before I can quote a rate, I need to get some information, first. Some of the things I need to find out are:
wouldn’t bet on it.