Chicago Illinois Mortgage Rates Week in Review for the Week Ending 02/24/2012
27th February 2012
Over the last months, it seemed like Greece was the center of the financial universe, and not much else really mattered. But over the last week Greece was hardly a factor, with the new deal in place, and though neither side (the Greeks, and the the Germans and other countries
holding the Greek debt) was very happy with the deal, it seemed that this was enough to keep the finger in the dyke to keep the flood at bay. It isn’t like anyone thinks that this agreement solves any of the problems with Greek debt, it just extends the horizon as to when Greece will default, so that it doesn’t have to be dealt with now. This view may be a bit premature, as Germany and Finland have to vote to okay the deal, and opposition is now rising in these countries. But for now, Europe is calm and the focus is back to what was going on in the US economy, and as a result, Mortgage rates have risen slightly.
A big part of the focus this past week, was on the stock market. The stock market has been bumping around the 13,000 level in the DOW index, going above it for the first time in 4 years, before closing slightly below the number for the week. This level is looked at as a resistance point for stocks, and if they go a little, higher, this will be taken as a sign that we are in a new bull market, and money will flow into stocks again. Theoretically, at least. The situation in Europe has been a damper, and last week worries about fuel costs going much higher have also curbed the excitement to a degree. But there are legitimate signs of optimism in the economy. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey rose to 75.3, beating expectations. This is important because consumer sentiment is a measure of whether consumers are in a buying mood, or not. First-time jobless claims remained in the 351,000 range, and the four week average hit it’s lowest level since March of 2008. The trend to better employment numbers has been slow but steady. There was also good news on the housing front. Existing home sales improved in January, and new home sales, which have been absolutely dead for the last several years, have started to move higher, too. Part of this improvement has got to be weather related, and though more homes are selling, the prices are down from where they were a year ago. But this is an encouraging trend, and housing needs to get better before the economy can really stand on its own. The big question now will be what happens to housing inventory. The inventory of homes for sale has been moving steadily down over the last months. With strong demand and fading supply, home prices will eventually start to rise. The question is whether the big banks will start adding to the inventory again with their backlog of foreclosed properties.
Mortgage rates rose slightly last week, but are still near all time lows. The FED has been doing everything it can to keep mortgage rates low, and absent some major surprise, most experts expect we will stay in this affordable range. But, good news for the economy, optimism, is bad news for mortgage rates. On the other hand, bad news and fear are what drive rates lower. If the problems in Europe are really on hold (a big if), and if the stock market does make a move higher, though rates will still be in a low, low range, mortgage rates might start to climb a bit higher.
Here are the current Chicago Illinois Home mortgage rates for an A+ (740 Fico or above), full doc single family home purchase or rate/term refinance on a 45 day rate lock, with 0 points, and no origination fee, best FHA rates assume a 640 Fico score, but loans are available with credit scores as low as 580. Mortgage rates in other states may be slightly different, give me a call and I will give you an accurate quote for your particular situation. The conventional and FHA rates are based on the highest conforming loan amounts, which give the best pricing. Again, there are many factors which affect mortgage rates and your ability to be approved for a loan, including credit scores, property type, amount of down payment and a number of other factors. These rates may not fit your situation and this is just a sample of the programs that are out there. If you would like a quote for your personal situation, or to get pre-approved for a mortgage, give me a call or contact me (Illinois mortgage company) and I will take the time to find the rate and program that is best for you:
Conventional loans up to $417,000
| 30 year fixed rate | 4.00% | 4.159% APR |
| 15 Year fixed Rate | 3.25% | 3.379% APR |
| 5-1 A.R.M. | 2.875% | 2.967% APR |
| 7-1 ARM | 3.125% | 3.237% APR |
For Jumbo loans over $417,000
| 30 Year Fixed Rate* | 4.625% | 4.793% APR |
*(Another option is to break your Jumbo loan into 2 parts a conventional to the limit of $417,000 and a HELOC or fixed second mortgage for the rest. The blended rate is usually much better than a single loan would be.)
| 3–1 ARM Jumbo | 3.00% w/ 0 points | 3.147% |
| 5-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.50% w/ 0 points | 3.632% |
| 7-1 ARM Jumbo | 3.75% w/ 0 points | 3.843% |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.875% w/ .5 points | 3.987%** APR |
| 5-5 A.R.M. ** | 3.625% w/ 1 Point | 3.768% APR |
** 5-5 ARM is fixed for first 5 years, with 2/6 caps it can’t go more than 2% above the start rate for the next 5 years. 2% cap for next 5 years – so a blended rate over 10 years is no more than 1% over the start rate. Super Jumbos available.
FHA LOANS 3.5% down payment FHA Maximum varies by County
| FHA 30 year fixed | 4.00% with 0Pt | 4.676% APR |
| FHA 30 year fixed | 3.75% with 1.0 Pts | 4.697% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.50% with 0Pt | 3.885% APR |
| FHA 5-1 ARM | 3.25% with 1 Pts | 4.076% APR |
FHA APR reflects 3.5% down payment and the effect of mortgage insurance on the loan. Call for information on no-cost FHA streamlined Refinances
FHA 203K Rehab Loans – Call for Current Quote – FHA 203k Rehab and Renovation loans are now available as 30 year fixed or 5-1 ARMs.
VA Veterans Administration 0 Down Loans
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 3.875% with 1Pt Origination | 4.638% APR |
| VA 30 Year Fixed Rate | 4.00% with 0 Pts | 4.724% APR |
These are just a few of the mortgage programs and mortgage rates available. Which option is best for you depends on your own specific goals and needs. If you have any questions or want to go over your situation in depth, let me know how I can help.
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on the latest details of whether there would be a Greek debt agreement, or not. At first there was, then it wasn’t really after all, then a few more reverses, then as of Sunday night, the Greek parliament passed the austerity agreements, so that they will be eligible for their next round of funding from the European Union. But don’t expect this to be the curtain closer. The deal has passed, but their is rioting in the streets and Greek elected officials are watching anxiously. The truth is, there are no good options for the Greeks, as going along with the forced austerity program will tank the economy, and withdrawing from the EU will also tank the economy. Either path involves a lot of pain. The equity markets will respond favorably to this though ( bonds and
8.3% from 8.5%. This was a solid showing, and more so because it handily beat expectations. Revisions to previous months also came in higher, so this was the most positive report we have seen in a long, long time. This is still just one report and there are still way too many people who are long time unemployed, there are still over 12 million Americans looking for jobs we have and a long way to go to make up for all the contraction in the economy over the last several years. But this is an optimistic sign. Another good sign was the ISM service and manufacturing indexes which showed faster levels of expansion in January. Another sign of improvement came from auto sales which came in with their best month since the cash for clunkers incentive program back in 2008. Anecdotally, from talking with several business owners last week, their orders are up and there is more optimism in the air.
of credit ratings for the bonds of nine European countries, including the second largest economy, France. This wasn’t a total surprise. S&P had hinted that they would do this a few weeks back, and bond yields throughout the continent have steadily been moving higher. But once they made it official more money poured out of Europe and into the relative safety of US bonds, and as a side benefit, mortgage bonds. The European Union is meeting for more economic discussions in about two weeks, and we are likely to see more fireworks then. Greece, whose problems were the first to show up, is not dealing well with its forced austerity, and there is a split among the economic powers of how to deal with this. If they push too hard they are likely to give Greece (and others) reason to break away, but if they are too accommodating this encourages more problems. There are no easy solutions, and this could take a long time to unravel. If problems heat up, the flight to quality will mean a push toward lower rates here.
stall. The jobs report is usually the most watched report on the economic calendar, and good news like this would normally cause
policy of Quantitative easing, and the markets were convinced that they would overshoot, leading to an inflationary spiral. This sent the stock market higher, while Treasury bonds and
heading back to their prior range. This dip in rates is of course a reaction to the European situation. Europe now has a plan going forward to prop up the Euro and keep all the weaker economies in line. This week the Union will be meeting to provide extra funding for the region’s troubled economies. The problem is, the markets don’t have a lot of faith that the plan will work in the long run. The rating agencies last week threatened credit rating down grades of France, as well as Belgium, Spain, Italy and several other countries. The question is whether the European Union can stay together, and right now it is being held together by the equivalent of duct tape and chewing gum. The weaker economies have to be considering their options, and deciding which way will be the most painful, sticking with the plan and going with the forced austerity, which will mean job losses and political pressure, or charting their own course which means re-inflating their own currency and trying to make it on their own. Neither option is good, and this pressure will likely keep
but by the end of the week it was clear that nothing had really changed. As has been the case all along, the problem is that the EU is a group forced together by their currency, but each country has their own economy and their situations and needs are different. Germany, the strongest of the group, wants the weaker more debt ridden countries to take on the austerity regime, cut their spending drastically and work their way out of this. While the leaders of these countries are going along with this, for now, this causes political crisis’s for them as austerity and high unemployment is never a popular option. The big fly in the ointment last week was that the United Kingdom, Great Britain, has decided to chart their own course. London is a true financial powerhouse and the center of much of the markets and trading activity. Agreeing to the new pact would have meant their giving up this power. It’s hard to see this agreement sticking when one of the main players refuses to go along.